Information on Hurricane Flossie 2007
 Flossie
has been downgraded to a Tropical Storm as it moves south of the Hawaiian
Island Chain
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII HAS BEEN CANCELLED
09AM MDT 08/15/07 Flossie, once a major
Category 4 hurricane, has now been downgraded to a Tropical Storm as it
brushes past the Big Island of Hawaii. Flossie is now located about 290
miles south of Honolulu. The storms current position is 17.4N 157.9W and the storm is moving 270° at
15mph. Current central
barometric pressure is estimated at 1005Mb and winds are 45-55kts. The
forecast calls for the storm to parallel the Island chain as it dissipates,
being reduced to a Tropical Depression by early Friday. However, if you look
at the most recent satellite images it appears the storm is already loosing
structure and a bulk of the moisture appears to e moving to the NE, back
across the Big Island.
It is again interesting that the NHC forecast
models have done an accurate job of forecasting storm track. On the other
hand, intensity forecasts have fallen short. Originally this storm was
forecast to remain a tropical storm and pass south of the Islands as a
depression. Late week, the storm was forecast to only briefly maintain
hurricane strength. Now the storm is on the brink of becoming a Category 5
Hurricane and is forecast to maintain hurricane intensity through mid week.
Flossie was one a Category 4 storm as it moved
across the open Pacific. Fortunately, the storm began to diminish as it
crossed cooler waters approaching the Island Chain. TS Flossie will not
affect the weather here in Baja.
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