Information on Tropical Storm Paul
09AM 10/26/06 - Paul has degenerated into a
tropical depression over mainland Mexico. No further Insider information
will be posted here. Automated information from the NHC below will continue
to be updated every 6 hrs.
All Watches and Warnings for Tropical Depression
Paul have been canceled.
09PM
MDT 10/24/06 Tropical Storm Paul continues to weaken as it bends northeastward
about 70 miles east of Cabo San Lucas. The storm's 09AM position was 23.0N
108.8W and it was moving 50° at 12kt. Central barometric pressure is estimated
at 1001mb with winds of 40 to 50kts. Paul has moved east of Baja Sur and
will make landfall on mainland Mexico later today. Paul is expected to
degenerate quickly into a Tropical Depression once over land.
The
Bisbee Fishing Tournament scheduled to begin Wednesday will be postpone
one day to allow for the storm to pass. Our sources tell us that the Cabo
San Lucas port will be closed tomorrow. This is a standard precaution
in the event of a passing storm.
Jeep from Pescadero tells us, "About 8:30PM
light rain began and steadily increased to moderate with periods of heavier
rain. The wind is from the SSE and is freshening, currently 20 -25
mph"
At 9PM La Paz has partly cloudy skies. Los
Cabos weather radar indicates that rain may have already begun on East
Cape. Our Cabo San Lucas office reports the winds have subsided a bit
from earlier in the evening but now the rain is coming down steadily.
Click here for Los Cabos Weather radar.
TS Paul, although passing very close to Baja
Sur, maintains the record of Hurricane Olivia in 1967. Olivia is the latest
in the season tropical cyclone to make landfall in Baja on October 14th,
1967. Three other tropical cyclones passed close to Baja after October
14th, one tropical storm in 1951 came close on November 29th.
(Click here for the records)
TD 17E formed 570 miles SE of Cabo San Lucas
from a persistent area of thunderstorms that was spawned near the southern
Mexico coast. TD17E was upgraded to Tropical Storm Paul on the morning
of 10/21 some 515 miles SE of Cabo San Lucas. Paul was upgraded to a Category
1 Hurricane in the 9PM release from the NHC on 10/22. Paul strengthened
to a Category 2, almost Cat 3, on the morning of 10/23. Paul was downgraded
to a Tropical Storm on the morning of 10/24, some 306 miles SSW of Cabo
San Lucas. Paul passed within 50 miles of the Baja Sur coastline on Tuesday
night, brining winds, heavy rain and a significant electrical storm.
(Forecasts are issued by the NHC 4 times per
day at 9 and 3 o'clock MDT. Advisories are issued at 7, 11,2 and 5 o'clock
when necessary.)
|