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Friday, August 1, 2014 11:13 AM MDT The warm weather will continue across the peninsula today as a ridge of High pressure holds west of the peninsula, while a trough develops the length of the Sierra Gigantica. The High is retreating into the Pacific and weakening so we can anticipate the flow to the west of tropical moisture from the mainland to bring an increasing chance of afternoon thunderstorms that will migrate west across the Sea of Cortez. Down south we have Tropical Storm Iselle, forecast to be a hurricane later today, that is so far to the west that it isn't even on our map, let alone on our minds. A new area of potential development is about 1000 miles south of Cabo San Lucas and is also forecast to move due west, harmlessly into the Pacific. Humidity levels are climbing and we are headed into Baja Hurricane Season. We may be in for a quiet spell of 5-7 days in the eastern portions of the Eastern Pacific, as the next tropical wave is currently in the Central Atlantic, 6-9 days away from entering our basin. With another very hot and still week in the waters between here and Acapulco I expect to see SST's rise eve further above norms in Monday's data release.

In the northern state of Baja California; Ensenada will be upper 70's today and a little warmer tomorrow. Tijuana will be just a few degrees warmer today. Inland in Mexicali, it will be 119°F and humid, tomorrow look for the strong chance of thunderstorms a veritable cold snap of 98°F forecast for Saturday. In San Felipe expect plenty of sunshine and temps in the upper 90's today, cooling tomorrow and through the weekend as much as 5°F with increasing cloudy periods.

In Baja California Sur, Guerrero Negro is going to have partly cloudy skies and temps in the low 90's through the next 10 days. In Loreto, the skies will be mostly sunny and temps will rise to the mid to upper 90's with the best chance of thunderstorms on Saturday afternoon. Humidity is rising across the peninsula and it is beginning to feel like hurricane season. In La Paz it is under hazy blue and windy this afternoon and temps are expected to be just short of the 100°F mark today. In Los Cabos the airport areas and San Jose del Cabo will have temps in the low to mid 90's. In Cabo the Pacific flow will keep things cooler and temps will rise to the upper 80's and low 90's. Forecasts call for Cabo to have the best chance of afternoon showers, but the higher elevations and East Cape have a better shot. Again, much of the Sea side of the peninsula could have pop up thunderstorms through the early week next week.

Down south on the Tropical Watch Tropical Storm Iselle is forecast to become a hurricane later today as it moves west into the Pacific, so far away it isn't on our Mexico Surface Chart. The next area of development is already a little past due south of Cabo and way down south it is. It has a moderate chance of development but too, will move out into the Central Pacific. Then we have a lull between tropical waves which may give our basin a few days break. But it will also provide a period to gather more potential energy, look for SST's to rise again on Mondays data release.

Tropical Cyclone Names for the Eastern Pacific – 2014

active Indicates an Active System - Dissipated Systems show greatest intensity achieved

H4 Amanda

active TD Genevieve



TS Boris

H1 Hernan



H4 Cristina

active TS Iselle



TS Douglas




TS Elida




TS Fausto




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