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00AM MDT SEPT 14, 2014.... HURRICANE ODILE REMAINS A DANGEROUS CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE NOW INLAND NORTH OF CABO SAN LUCAS. THE TRACK ALSO NOW PLACES THE SYSTEM INROUTE TO LA PAZ PREP FOR CATEGORY 2+ EFFECTS IN THE EARLY TOMORROW MORNING. THE REOUTE PPASSES BETWEEN LA PAZ AND TODOS SANTOS... THIS IS THE MOST POWERFUL STORM TO HIT THE PENINSULA SINCE 1948 AND THE ONLY OTHER MAJOR HURRICANE SINCE KIKO IN 1989. THIS IS A VERY DANGEROUS STORM - TAKE EXTREME CAUTION... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO LORETO... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LORETO TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA & THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR NORTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO HEED ALL EVACUATION ORDERS BY LOCAL GOVERNMENTS... CLICK ON HURRICANE ODILE IN THE "LATEST STORIES" COLUMN LEFT FOR UPDATED INFORMATION.... HEED ALL EVACUATION ORDERS BY LOCAL GOVERNMENTS... CLICK ON HURRICANE ODILE IN THE "LATEST STORIES" COLUMN LEFT FOR UPDATED INFORMATION....

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Hurricane Odile

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00AM MDT SEPT 14, 2014.... HURRICANE ODILE REMAINS A DANGEROUS CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE NOW INLAND NORTH OF CABO SAN LUCAS. THE TRACK ALSO NOW PLACES THE SYSTEM INROUTE TO LA PAZ PREP FOR CATEGORY 2+ EFFECTS IN THE EARLY TOMORROW MORNING. THE REOUTE PPASSES BETWEEN LA PAZ AND TODOS SANTOS... THIS IS THE MOST POWERFUL STORM TO HIT THE PENINSULA SINCE 1948 AND THE ONLY OTHER MAJOR HURRICANE SINCE KIKO IN 1989. THIS IS A VERY DANGEROUS STORM - TAKE EXTREME CAUTION... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO LORETO... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LORETO TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA & THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR NORTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO HEED ALL EVACUATION ORDERS BY LOCAL GOVERNMENTS... CLICK ON HURRICANE ODILE IN THE "LATEST STORIES" COLUMN LEFT FOR UPDATED INFORMATION.... HEED ALL EVACUATION ORDERS BY LOCAL GOVERNMENTS... CLICK ON HURRICANE ODILE IN THE "LATEST STORIES" COLUMN LEFT FOR UPDATED INFORMATION....
Due to extreme demand on Conagua servers some of our Mexico based Satellite images and animation are failing to load. Everybody wants to see this moster coming...

Sunday, September 14, 2014 10:07 AM MDT This morning on our Tropical Watch there is no other story than approaching Major Hurricane Odile. Odile is currently just over 200 miles south-southeast of Cabo San Lucas and bearing down on the resort city for a rendezvous after sunset tonight. If forecasts hold the storm will pass just outside the peninsula, delivering the most powerful northeast quadrant on the resort city as it peaks close to Category 5 intensity. Again, if current forecasts hold this could be the most powerful storm to directly affect the Baja peninsula since accurate records began in 1948. Only one other Major Hurricane, Category 3 Kiko in 1989 on East Cape,, has ever made landfall in Baja California Sur.

Category

Sustained Winds

1

74-95 mph
64-82 kts
119-153 km/hr

2

96-110 mph
83-95 kts
154-177 km/hr

3
(Major)

111-129 mph
96-112 kts
178-208 km/hr

4
(Major)

130-156 mph
113-136 ktst
209-251 km/hr

5
(Major)

157 mph or higher
137 kts or higher
252 km/hr or higher

Major Hurricanes are a totally different animal from the normal Category 1's and 2's we usually receive here in Baja Sur. Winds of the forecasted intensity can make objects as large as wheelbarrows airborne projectiles, in addition to the driving rains and winds in excess of 135mph. If you think you know all about Baja Hurricanes this one could catch you by surprise. Because of the above normal ocean waters temperature of the Pacific along the southern and western approaches to Baja California Sur it is anticipated Odile will arrive close to Cabo San Lucas as a Major Category 3 or 4 Hurricane late tonight!

We encourage all of our readers in the Baja California Sur region to remain alert to the progress of Hurricane Odile, and obey evacuation orders that are likely to be issued in coastal areas and those prone to flooding.. Complete your storm preparations early Sunday and be safe friends.

Further down south we also have Tropical Depression 16E, which has been meandering about since mid week. This system is not forecast to do much of anything and at this time its development is being stymied by the greater Odile. It may send a remnant low northward into the Sea of Cortez mid to late week, providing additional rain to the eastern side of the peninsula.

Even further south we have yet another region of prospective development of the coast of Guatemala. This is given a low chance of development in the next 24hrs but a high chance as it move to the northwest along the southern coast of Mexico during the week ahead. We are in the thick of the season folks.

All this tropical activity come at the peak of the Baja Hurricane Season, when environmental conditions are correct for storms to come in our directions. The frequency of these storms is caused by the conjunction of seasonal patterns along with the arrival of an increased convection derived from the Madden Julian oscillation, which comes east from the Indian Ocean to meet up with the tropical waves generated in the Sahara Desert. So we need to remain on alert through the middle of next month... yet.

A note to our readers: Hurricane Information releases are at 9AM/PM and 3AM/PM MDT. These are complete updates with new positions and forecast tracks along with watch and warning updates. Interim releases at 6AM/PM and 12 AM/PM only update position and watches and warnings and track forecasts are a re-hash of previous releases and are only issued when there are active watches or warnings. We update our information as soon as possible, we normally receive the news a few minutes before the NHC website release and endeavor to post the information and our graphics found only here on the Insider just as quickly as possible. Since we are the only online weather source actually reporting from La Paz and Cabo San Lucas we are also subject to internet outages caused by inclement weather.

A note to our Baja Readers: Sept 15 celebrates the 204 anniversary of El Grito, The Cry for Independence and the 16th is Independence Day. Some businesses will close through Wednesday and banks, schools and government offices will be closed Tuesday the 16th. Heck. everything in baja California Sur will be closed tomorrow anyway and events are likely to be postponed or canceled.

Click here for our Baja Satellite view and also check out the 120hr Marine forecast wind map

Tropical Cyclone Names for the Eastern Pacific – 2014

active Indicates an Active System - Dissipated Systems show greatest intensity achieved

H4 Amanda

H5 Genevieve

H5 Marie

Trudy

TS Boris

H1 Hernan

H3 Norbert

Vance

H4 Cristina

H4 Iselle

active H3 Odile

Winnie

TS Douglas

H3 Julio

active TD 16E / Polo

Xavier

TS Elida

H1 Karina

Rachel

Yolanda

TS Fausto

H1 Lowell

Simon

Zeke

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