Monday July 06 2020

Posted by BajaInsider.com on July 05, 2020
  • Distribution of COVID-19 in Mexico 07-05-20
    Distribution of COVID-19 in Mexico 07-05-20
  • Distribution of COVID-19 in Baja California 07-05-20
    Distribution of COVID-19 in Baja California 07-05-20
  • Distribution of COVID-19 in Baja California Sur 07-05-20
    Distribution of COVID-19 in Baja California Sur 07-05-20

 

 

Our statistics and graphics come from the Federal Secretary of Health website in Mexico City. The daily statistics are posted there each day after 6 PM. State statistics lag by sometimes several days.

Updated Sunday, July 5, 2020  After a soft reopening of the state, Baja California Sur has experienced a 128% rise in new cases of the COVID-19 virus in the past week, according to a video address by Governor Carlos Mendoza Davis. As a result, all of the municipalities of Baja California Sur, except for Los Cabos, have again closed the beaches. Restrictions on the sale of alcohol after 6PM have also been reinstituted. The number of active cases in the state is now at it's highest point. Additional restrictions are likely to be placed on Monday, July 6. A reminder that facial coverings are still required in public places and major stores will not admit persons without them.

Vacationing in Baja is NOT essential travel 

The latest statistics for July 4, 2020

All our statistics are gleaned directly from the Federal Secretary of Health website which is updated every day at 6 PM CDT. So for that purpose all of our results, record-setting days of deaths and new cases per day are 100% accurate, relative to the official Federal postings

 

The number of new cases across Mexico, and Baja California could be a result of the number of tests administered, we have no no first hand knowledge at this time. However, in Baja California Sur testing has been limited to exposed healthcare workers, who make up a large number of those testing positive, and those showing up at medical facilities showing symptoms worthy of testing. So at least in BCS the increase number of new cases does have a direct relationship to the spread of the virus. 

 

Across Mexico, the number of new cases and the number of deaths continue to rise. There are currently 256,848 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in all of Mexico with 4,683 new cases in the last 24hr. Saturday July 4th set the 24hr new cases high watermark at 6,914 . There have been a total of 30,639 deaths attributed to the virus with 273 deaths in the last 24hrs. In the week June 28 to July 4 there were 39,363 new confirmed cases and 3,945 deaths.

 

In Baja California, there have been 9854 confirmed cases in the state, and 74 of those cases testing positive in the last 24hrs. There have been 2,064 2,055 deaths attributed to COVID-9 in the state and 9 of that total in the past 24hrs. In the week June 28 to July 4 there were 1,133 new confirmed cases and 182 deaths from the virus. 

 

In Baja California Sur there have been 1,784 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in the state with 40 new cases in the past 24hrs. There have been 87 deaths from COVID-19 in the state with one in the last 24hrs. In the week June 28 to July 4 there were  355 new confirmed cases and 16 deaths. Both representing the greatest increase in the state since the state's first case was detected on March 17. 

 

07/05 Deaths from COVID-19 as % of total population with date of first infection
Mexico is 60 days or more behind the curve of most G20 nations
and those numbers will continue to rise.
THIS IS NOT THE MORTALITY RATE - MORTALITY AS % OF INFECTED IS MUCH HIGHER
Location Deaths as % of
Total Population
(To Date)
Population First Infection
South Korea 0.0005% 51.2M January 20
United States 0.04% 330M January 20
France 0.04% 67M January 24
Canada 0.02% 37M January 26
Germany 0.06% 83M January 27
Italy 0.06% 60M January 31
England 0.08% 49M January 31
Brazil  0.03% 209M February 25
Mexico (nation) 0.02% 126M March 6
Mexico (state) 0.03% 18M March 9
Baja California 0.06% 3.3M March 17
Baja California Sur 0.011% 763K March 19

In Baja California, the number of new cases and the number of deaths have been decreasing over the last two weeks and the region appears to be recovering from the worst effects of the pandemic. Tijuana, the third-largest city in Mexico was once a national hot spot for the COVID-19 virus. 

Baja California Sur, on the other hand, seemed to escape the "first wave' of the virus and loosened restrictions to Level 5 on June 15. The past week has presented the highest number of new cases and begun to put a strain on the BCS medical facilities. The state is also not doing well with mortality either, and a significant portion of those requiring hospitalization are succumbing to the disease. Although we have conflicting information it is clear you don't want to be one of the ones requiring hospitalization.

The Governor stated in his latest video that the health of the population is the only concern, however the exemptions to new restrictions to both alcohol and beaches for the municipality of Los Cabos don't appear to reflect that. 

This week another doctor treating COVID-19 patients in the IMMS hospital in La Paz died from the disease.  

Here is a timeline of the COVID-19 on the Baja peninsula and in Mexico
July 04, 2020
Baja California Sur sets a new high in deaths in a 24hr period with 6, besting June 4th's 5 deaths.
July 04, 2020
Mexico sets a new high for number of new cases 6,914 in a 24hr period
July 04, 2020
La Paz reinstates sale of alcohol after 6PM
July 01, 2020
Baja California Sur has 128% increase in COVID-19 cases and again closes all beaches in all municipalities except Los Cabos.
June 23, 2020 Mexico set a new mark for new confirmed cases in a 24hr period with 6,288 surpassing June 18th's 
5,692 new cases

June 19, 2020 Baja California Sur sets a new mark of 67 new confirmed cases in a 24hr period.
June 18, 2020 Mexico set a new high watermark of 5,692 new cases in a 24hr period
June 16, 2020
Baja California Sur tops confirmed 1000 cases of COVID-19
June 15, 2020
Baja Calfornia Sur moves to Level 5 - reopening non-essential businesses.

June 12, 2020 Mexico sets a new national high with 5222 new confirmed cases in a 24hr priod.

June 11, 2020 Baja California Sur announces Level 5 of the reopening plan to begin on June 15, allowing operation of non-essential businesses, beaches, hotels and restaurants under retrictions.
June 10, 2020
Mexico sets a new high watermark as new cases reach 4883 in one day.
June 10, 2020
 Baja California Sur sets a new daily record of 57 new cases, more than double the previous high count of 26 on May 28 and 29. 
June 09, 2020
Baja California Sur ties the record number of new cases reported with 26 in a 24hr period, equalling May 28 and 29 of 57
June 09, 2020
Baja California Sur is recognized by the World Travel and Tourism Council for meeting 'Safe Travel' protocols to contain the virus.

June 04, 2020 Baja California Sur hits a highwater mark of 5 deaths reported in a 24hr period.
June 03, 2020
Mexico tops the 1000 deaths per day mark for the first time. 
June 1, 2020,
Baja California Sur resumes mining and construction operations. Since recent studies show the virus does not spread as easily in outdoor conditions these occupations normally opperate under good social distancing conditons.

May 31, 2020 The first coase of COVID-19 is reported in the BCS municipality of Loreto.
May 28, 2020
, Baja California Sur confirms 26 new cases in one day, the largest single-day increase of the lockdown by almost double the previous high. The new high tally was repeated on the 29th

May 27, 2020, Baja California Sur touts hopeful news on the flattening of the COVID-19 infection curve and points hopefully at mid-June for easing Cuidate en Casa restrictions.

May 23, 2020, The Citizens Council of Todos Santos (BCS) appeals for assistance, touting the extreme impact of the virus in the community, lack of government support, overwhelmed health facilities in the Pueblo Magico.

May 21, 2020, the Baja California city of Rosarito restricts access to residents only. 

May 21, 2020, La Paz reduces restrictions on self-service store hours, stores and To-go restaurants may remain open until 9 PM

May 19, 2020, The US/Mexico non-essential travel restrictions may be extended to June 22.

May 18, 2020, Governor Carlos Mendoza Davis addresses the reopening of Baja California Sur extending the lockdown into June but leaving the possibility of reopening the mining and construction industries in the state. Schools are terminated for the semester and those in the graduating grades will be evaluated on the partial completion of the school year.

May 13, 2020, Governor Carlos Mendoza Davis announces the reopening date for Baja California Sur of May 31 is unlikely

May 04, 2020 Mouth coverings are required in La Paz. One person per vehicle restrictions are in place and no alcohol is to be sold after 6 pm. Retail stores and locations serving prepared food will close at 8 pm. A 10 pm curfew is placed in effect for La Paz.

April 22, 2020, The Governor of Baja California suspended all non-essential business and department stores must section off non-essential departments. Mouth coverings are required to enter markets and in all public places in La Paz, including strangely enough, in your car. (On April 24 reports in the local media stated that this was true for La Paz, but the Governor stated this is only for those showing symptoms statewide. )

April 12, 2020, US Customs and Border Patrol announced Friday the closure of the pedestrian walkways from Mexico into California and the number of lanes for vehicular traffic will be reduced. Commercial operations will continue. Non-essential cross border traffic is suspended.

April 11, 2020, Several pueblo's that are not on the way to anywhere restricted access to their communities, particularly in those communities isolated from critical care. Todos Santos, Cabo Pulmo, Los Barilles, Miraflores, Loreto, Mulege, San Evaristo, Agua Verde, and San Javier have begun to enforce entry restrictions. Hwys 1, 5 and 19 remain open 

April 10, 2020, the Municipality of Los Cabos indicated they will begin issuing citations for more than one person per car. (There will be obvious exceptions)

April 05, 2020, All hotels, timeshares, bed and breakfast, and AirBnB residences must close.

April 03, 2020, All bars, restaurants, and theaters will be closed and public gatherings will be suspended. La Paz closed the Malecon to foot and vehicle traffic. A limit of one person per vehicle with mouth coverings required, except for transporting someone in need of care to a medical facility. (Except if you think they are suffering from COVID-19 you are supposed to call for special medical transport)

April 02, 2020, The Governor of Baja California Sur announces that those with confirmed cases of COVID-19 that do not self-isolate and continue to put others at risk in spreading the virus will be sited under emergency health regulations.

March 22, 2020, The US, Mexico, and Canada agree to suspend all non-essential cross border traffic. 

Susanna Distancia is born. A cartoon character created by Mexico City Dr. Ricardo Cortés for the government to encourage social distancing and as a fringe benefit, empower women in a machismo culture

just part of the national lockdown because too many were treating it as a vacation period. Technically, this applies to Bahia Balandra as well. 

March 21, 2020, Baja California Sur announces its first cases of COVID-19 being an American tourist and an infected local. 

March 19, 2020, The City of La Paz enacted the campaign "I stay at home" which includes the suspension of public events, closure of bars, among other measures. Currently, schools will close at the end of classes today and there will be a significant reduction in staff for nonessential departments and time reductions for parents who must attend children at home, due to school closures. Throughout the southern state, restaurants were required to reduce seating by 50% and a warning that closures were likely on the detection of the first case in the state.

Since National Parks were closed nationwide park police began to enforce this at the policed Islands of the Sea, all of the islands in the Sea of Cortez except for a handful are part of the National Park System.

March 17, 2020, Baja California announces its first cases of COVID-19 in two women. tracing the infection to the US. 

March 11, 2020, The coronavirus outbreak was officially labeled a pandemic by the World Health Organization (WHO). WHO chief Dr. Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus said the number of cases outside China had increased 13-fold in two weeks. He said he was "deeply concerned" by "alarming levels of inaction". 
February 18, 2020 The Grand Princess visits Cabo San Lucas. The ship returned to California from Cabo where 21 persons aboard tested positive and the ship was quantined in San Francisco. California's first death from COVID-19 resulted came from a passenger on this ship

On May 20 in La Paz, the recently created Guardia National was passing out 'care packages' door to door. A recorded announcement from the military truck requested citizens remain indoors and a Guard member would bring a package to your door. The package consisted of a kilo bag of beans, rice, lentils, and a whole frozen chicken. Although it is "free food" we would hope that our readers in La Paz not in need of such assistance would respectfully decline the care package. 

On May 18, 2020, the Governor of Baja California Sur addressed the citizens via social media as to the extension of the Stay at Home policy into June. Previously the Governor Carlos Mendoza David had posted on his Facebook page of May 13 that the May 31 reopening of Baja California Sur was not likely to happen. Both Baja California and Baja California Sur remain "Red States" on the federal government "traffic light" of infection levels, so they will not be reopening the first of June.

Hotels, tours, schools, and non-essential businesses will remain closed for an unspecified amount of time across the peninsula into an unspecified date in June. 

The Governor acknowledged that with our lower population density and larger rural population the state my be behind the national curve. 

On May 14th the Mayor of La Paz said the stay at home and business restrictions will be extended through at least June 15 IN LA PAZ. 

In Baja California news, the Mayor of Tijuana held a meeting and outlined steps in the planning phase of reopening for business beginning gradually on June 1. The mayor acknowledged that Tijuana is very important to the economy of Mexico and the state with key industrial sectors located there. 

"We know that Tijuana is a key piece for the state's economy, but we must prioritize people's health; however, economic activity and employment are the means that support us," said Arturo González Cruz 

in Ensenada, the mayor Armando Ayala Robles there stated that although Tijuana is a national COVID-19 hot spot his city has been able to contain the spread of the virus "thanks to the healthy distance and confinement measures implemented." Heavy fines for business and restrictions of non-essential travel particularly for those from Southern California and Tijuana lead to positive results. 

On May 20th the Mexican airforce delivered a transport plane full of medical equipment in Tijuana to bolster the state's medical facilities.

 

 Also See

THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SELF DIAGNOSTIC APPLICATION

MORE INFORMATION ON COVID-19 IN MEXICO AND BAJA

GOVERNOR OF BCS ADDRESSING REOPENING DATES 

NOT WHEN BUT TO WHOME TO REOPEN

GENERAL INFORMATION ON COVID-19

SUPPORT PPE FOR BCS HEALTHCARE WORKERS

 

On May 4th the Security Council of La Paz announced additional measures that will remain in effect now through at least June 15th as follows:

  1) Self-service stores (ie: Soriana, Walmart, Ley's et al) and restaurants selling prepared food must close at 8 pm. This is now statewide and fines are up to $17,000MN for businesses remaining open after 8 PM.

  2) Checkpoints will be established to keep traffic to essential trips

  3) Increased inspections to determine if open businesses are truly 'essential' and closing those that do not meet criteria

The numbers indicate that Baja California Sur remains in the most critical phase of the pandemic development and projecting a reopening date for the state is not yet possible. Baja California and particularly Tijuana and Mexicali are considered the Mexican epicenter of the spread of the disease at this time. Baja California Sur may be lagging a week or two behind the national infection rate curve.

The Governor's address of May 18th advised citizens that patience and encouraged their participation in the stay-at-home order are for the health benefit of all. 

Mining and construction industries may be cleared to reopen toward the end of May, but that decision remains only a possibility.  

 

 

In late April the sub secretary of Prevention and Promotion of Health, Dr. Hugo Lopez Gatel presented the estimations of the Sentinal Model to be much higher than the actual reported cases of COVID-19. The model, built by the government in 2016 to provide information to healthcare workers in times such as these, takes into account the contagion of those not presenting symptoms, in addition to those testing positive. This alone provides a multiplier of 10 to 12 times the apparent number. 

 

In Los Cabos, the Los Cabos College of Architechs established a program to help construction workers return to their home state. with the termination of most construction underway many are left without transportation, a place to stay or means to return home. More than 200 have applied for assistance. The phone numbers to call to apply for the program are 624-147-5713 or 624-117-4935 or 624-108-8978.

 

Sources 

https://www.npr.org

https://pulsoslp.com.mx

https://www.gob.mx/salud

http://coronavirus.bcs.gob.mx

http://cdc.gov 

http://www.bbc.com/news

http://bcsnoticias.mx


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